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El Niño Threatens Global Cocoa Production with Historic Decline Forecasted

The El Niño climate phenomenon, causing major disruptions in the Pacific Ocean, threatens global cocoa production. According to RFI, the decline could reach 300,000 to 400,000 tonnes, mainly affecting plantations in West Africa and South America.


Daniel Weiss
Daniel Weiss
September 29, 2026  ·  1 min read
B-Empire Magazine
Brief

The El Niño climate phenomenon, which warms the Pacific Ocean and causes extreme weather conditions, is raising concerns among cocoa producers worldwide. According to RFI, this autumn El Niño is expected to reach historic intensity, causing droughts or heavy rainfall depending on the region.

The consequences for the cocoa sector could be severe: global production may drop by 300,000 to 400,000 tonnes. This decline would mainly affect plantations located in West Africa and South America, two key regions for cocoa bean production.

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